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Today’s Sports Insights.

FOOTBALL INSIGHTS POWERED by Shepherd

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Postponed, cancelled, abandoned or unconfirmed matches. Latest kickoff first.

Showing 1–6 of 6 matches

Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution

Kickoff

Match status awaiting update

No confirmed status observation. We don’t have a confirmed match status or score.

Shepherd’s pre-match view

Draw

Double chance · X2

New England Revolution win or draw

Analysis from

The pre-match view and double chance refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time, penalty shootouts and which team advances are separate from this analysis.

Explore the analysis for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution

The figures below compare Shepherd’s model with the market view recorded for this analysis. They are not live odds or a guarantee of the outcome.

FC Cincinnati win
Shepherd model
26.7%
Market-implied
54.6%
Difference
-28.0 pp
Draw
Shepherd model
43.3%
Market-implied
23.8%
Difference
+19.5 pp
New England Revolution win
Shepherd model
30.0%
Market-implied
27.0%
Difference
+3.0 pp
How to read these figures for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution
Shepherd model
The model’s estimated probability for this outcome.
Market-implied
The probability implied by the recorded odds.
Difference · pp
Shepherd model minus market-implied probability, in percentage points. A plus sign means the model is higher; a minus sign means it is lower.

Market-implied figures are calculated from the recorded odds without adjusting their total to 100%. The difference is measured in percentage points (pp); it does not establish profitability. Display figures are rounded to one decimal place.

Observed head-to-head meetings: 5. Missing slots allocated to draw: 0. These allocations are model treatment, not observed draws.

See exact recorded figures for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution

FC Cincinnati win
Shepherd model: 26.666666666666668%
Market-implied: 54.64480874316939%
Difference: -27.978142076502724 pp

Draw
Shepherd model: 43.333333333333336%
Market-implied: 23.809523809523807%
Difference: 19.52380952380953 pp

New England Revolution win
Shepherd model: 30%
Market-implied: 27.027027027027025%
Difference: 2.9729729729729755 pp

Major League Soccer

Inter Miami vs New York City FC

Kickoff

Match status awaiting update

No confirmed status observation. We don’t have a confirmed match status or score.

Shepherd’s pre-match view

Draw

Double chance · 1X

Inter Miami win or draw

Analysis from

The pre-match view and double chance refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time, penalty shootouts and which team advances are separate from this analysis.

Explore the analysis for Inter Miami vs New York City FC

The figures below compare Shepherd’s model with the market view recorded for this analysis. They are not live odds or a guarantee of the outcome.

Inter Miami win
Shepherd model
40.0%
Market-implied
66.7%
Difference
-26.7 pp
Draw
Shepherd model
55.0%
Market-implied
20.0%
Difference
+35.0 pp
New York City FC win
Shepherd model
5.0%
Market-implied
19.0%
Difference
-14.0 pp
How to read these figures for Inter Miami vs New York City FC
Shepherd model
The model’s estimated probability for this outcome.
Market-implied
The probability implied by the recorded odds.
Difference · pp
Shepherd model minus market-implied probability, in percentage points. A plus sign means the model is higher; a minus sign means it is lower.

Market-implied figures are calculated from the recorded odds without adjusting their total to 100%. The difference is measured in percentage points (pp); it does not establish profitability. Display figures are rounded to one decimal place.

Observed head-to-head meetings: 5. Missing slots allocated to draw: 0. These allocations are model treatment, not observed draws.

See exact recorded figures for Inter Miami vs New York City FC

Inter Miami win
Shepherd model: 40%
Market-implied: 66.66666666666666%
Difference: -26.666666666666657 pp

Draw
Shepherd model: 55%
Market-implied: 20%
Difference: 35 pp

New York City FC win
Shepherd model: 5%
Market-implied: 19.047619047619047%
Difference: -14.047619047619047 pp

Major League Soccer

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC

Kickoff

Match status awaiting update

No confirmed status observation. We don’t have a confirmed match status or score.

Shepherd’s pre-match view

Draw

Double chance · X2

Orlando City SC win or draw

Analysis from

The pre-match view and double chance refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time, penalty shootouts and which team advances are separate from this analysis.

Explore the analysis for Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC

The figures below compare Shepherd’s model with the market view recorded for this analysis. They are not live odds or a guarantee of the outcome.

Toronto FC win
Shepherd model
26.7%
Market-implied
45.5%
Difference
-18.8 pp
Draw
Shepherd model
36.7%
Market-implied
26.3%
Difference
+10.4 pp
Orlando City SC win
Shepherd model
36.7%
Market-implied
33.3%
Difference
+3.3 pp
How to read these figures for Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC
Shepherd model
The model’s estimated probability for this outcome.
Market-implied
The probability implied by the recorded odds.
Difference · pp
Shepherd model minus market-implied probability, in percentage points. A plus sign means the model is higher; a minus sign means it is lower.

Market-implied figures are calculated from the recorded odds without adjusting their total to 100%. The difference is measured in percentage points (pp); it does not establish profitability. Display figures are rounded to one decimal place.

Observed head-to-head meetings: 5. Missing slots allocated to draw: 0. These allocations are model treatment, not observed draws.

See exact recorded figures for Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC

Toronto FC win
Shepherd model: 26.666666666666668%
Market-implied: 45.45454545454545%
Difference: -18.787878787878785 pp

Draw
Shepherd model: 36.66666666666667%
Market-implied: 26.31578947368421%
Difference: 10.350877192982463 pp

Orlando City SC win
Shepherd model: 36.666666666666664%
Market-implied: 33.33333333333333%
Difference: 3.3333333333333357 pp

Major League Soccer

DC United vs New York Red Bulls

Kickoff

Match status awaiting update

No confirmed status observation. We don’t have a confirmed match status or score.

Shepherd’s pre-match view

Draw

Double chance · X2

New York Red Bulls win or draw

Analysis from

The pre-match view and double chance refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time, penalty shootouts and which team advances are separate from this analysis.

Explore the analysis for DC United vs New York Red Bulls

The figures below compare Shepherd’s model with the market view recorded for this analysis. They are not live odds or a guarantee of the outcome.

DC United win
Shepherd model
13.3%
Market-implied
52.4%
Difference
-39.0 pp
Draw
Shepherd model
66.7%
Market-implied
24.4%
Difference
+42.3 pp
New York Red Bulls win
Shepherd model
20.0%
Market-implied
28.6%
Difference
-8.6 pp
How to read these figures for DC United vs New York Red Bulls
Shepherd model
The model’s estimated probability for this outcome.
Market-implied
The probability implied by the recorded odds.
Difference · pp
Shepherd model minus market-implied probability, in percentage points. A plus sign means the model is higher; a minus sign means it is lower.

Market-implied figures are calculated from the recorded odds without adjusting their total to 100%. The difference is measured in percentage points (pp); it does not establish profitability. Display figures are rounded to one decimal place.

Observed head-to-head meetings: 5. Missing slots allocated to draw: 0. These allocations are model treatment, not observed draws.

See exact recorded figures for DC United vs New York Red Bulls

DC United win
Shepherd model: 13.333333333333334%
Market-implied: 52.35602094240838%
Difference: -39.02268760907504 pp

Draw
Shepherd model: 66.66666666666666%
Market-implied: 24.39024390243903%
Difference: 42.27642276422763 pp

New York Red Bulls win
Shepherd model: 20%
Market-implied: 28.57142857142857%
Difference: -8.57142857142857 pp

Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte

Kickoff

Match status awaiting update

No confirmed status observation. We don’t have a confirmed match status or score.

Shepherd’s pre-match view

Charlotte win

Double chance · X2

Charlotte win or draw

Analysis from

The pre-match view and double chance refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time, penalty shootouts and which team advances are separate from this analysis.

Explore the analysis for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte

The figures below compare Shepherd’s model with the market view recorded for this analysis. They are not live odds or a guarantee of the outcome.

Columbus Crew win
Shepherd model
20.0%
Market-implied
51.3%
Difference
-31.3 pp
Draw
Shepherd model
38.3%
Market-implied
25.6%
Difference
+12.7 pp
Charlotte win
Shepherd model
41.7%
Market-implied
28.6%
Difference
+13.1 pp
How to read these figures for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
Shepherd model
The model’s estimated probability for this outcome.
Market-implied
The probability implied by the recorded odds.
Difference · pp
Shepherd model minus market-implied probability, in percentage points. A plus sign means the model is higher; a minus sign means it is lower.

Market-implied figures are calculated from the recorded odds without adjusting their total to 100%. The difference is measured in percentage points (pp); it does not establish profitability. Display figures are rounded to one decimal place.

Observed head-to-head meetings: 5. Missing slots allocated to draw: 0. These allocations are model treatment, not observed draws.

See exact recorded figures for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte

Columbus Crew win
Shepherd model: 20%
Market-implied: 51.28205128205129%
Difference: -31.28205128205129 pp

Draw
Shepherd model: 38.333333333333336%
Market-implied: 25.641025641025646%
Difference: 12.69230769230769 pp

Charlotte win
Shepherd model: 41.666666666666664%
Market-implied: 28.57142857142857%
Difference: 13.095238095238095 pp

Major League Soccer

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC

Kickoff

Match status awaiting update

No confirmed status observation. We don’t have a confirmed match status or score.

Shepherd’s pre-match view

Draw

Double chance · X2

Atlanta United FC win or draw

Analysis from

The pre-match view and double chance refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time, penalty shootouts and which team advances are separate from this analysis.

Explore the analysis for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC

The figures below compare Shepherd’s model with the market view recorded for this analysis. They are not live odds or a guarantee of the outcome.

CF Montreal win
Shepherd model
16.7%
Market-implied
44.4%
Difference
-27.8 pp
Draw
Shepherd model
56.7%
Market-implied
26.7%
Difference
+30.0 pp
Atlanta United FC win
Shepherd model
26.7%
Market-implied
34.5%
Difference
-7.8 pp
How to read these figures for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC
Shepherd model
The model’s estimated probability for this outcome.
Market-implied
The probability implied by the recorded odds.
Difference · pp
Shepherd model minus market-implied probability, in percentage points. A plus sign means the model is higher; a minus sign means it is lower.

Market-implied figures are calculated from the recorded odds without adjusting their total to 100%. The difference is measured in percentage points (pp); it does not establish profitability. Display figures are rounded to one decimal place.

Observed head-to-head meetings: 5. Missing slots allocated to draw: 0. These allocations are model treatment, not observed draws.

See exact recorded figures for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC

CF Montreal win
Shepherd model: 16.666666666666668%
Market-implied: 44.44444444444444%
Difference: -27.777777777777775 pp

Draw
Shepherd model: 56.66666666666667%
Market-implied: 26.666666666666668%
Difference: 30.000000000000004 pp

Atlanta United FC win
Shepherd model: 26.666666666666668%
Market-implied: 34.48275862068966%
Difference: -7.8160919540229905 pp

Back to filters

18+ · Analysis does not guarantee outcomes. Set your limits and take time to decide. Match scores do not change the original Insight.

PRE-MATCH INSIGHTS

Before The Game

EXPLORE MORE
If you want to get ready for a match, this section offers previews, early insights, and what to look out for.
POST-MATCH INSIGHTS

After The Game

EXPLORE MORE
If you want to understand what happened in the match and why, this is where we break it down with meaning.
LEARNING CENTER

Knowledge Base

EXPLORE MORE
If you want to keep learning, this is your library. This is where you build your understanding of betting, our metrics, decision-making, and the thinking behind the game.